There's only three more days until Tony Sunday, which means Tony voters are finishing up their ballots for the June 6 deadline!
While there will almost certainly be a bevy of surprises come Sunday, some eager fans prefer a statistical approach to their Tonys predictions rather than an emotional one. While there are no other award shows with one-to-one comparison with the Tony Awards (due to different eligibility dates and rules), there are a handful of ceremonies that have historically been considered precursors, serving as a potential sign that favor has swung one way or the other across the industry.
READ: How Does Tony Awards Voting Work? One Tony Voter Responds
半岛体育 has crunched the numbers for several key precursor award ceremonies to measure which shows have won the most prizes so far going into Tony night. It isn't an exact science, but it can be informative to have the numbers laid out in front of you!
For the following tallies, we counted wins and nominations from the Drama Desk Awards, Drama League Awards, Lucille Lortel Awards, Outer Critics Circle Awards, Pulitzer Prizes, Theatre World Awards, the Obie Awards, and the Chita Rivera Awards. For the U.K.-originating productions of Operation Mincemeat and Sunset Blvd., we counted the Olivier Awards. For Purpose and Death Becomes Her, which originated in Chicago, we counted the Jeff Awards. Though we count awards for Broadway transfers, we are only counting recognition for the same productions (shows like Floyd Collins and Yellow Face won awards when they first premiered Off-Broadway in different productions, but we aren't counting those in these tallies).
The following are the nominees for Best Musical, Best Play, Best Revival of a Musical, and Best Revival of a Play ordered by the number of awards they have won up to this point. A note: This is, in no way, an endorsement of any particular production. Statistics do not always translate across the industry, as each ceremony has a different nominating committee, and voting body. Consider this a fun exercise, and not an edict!

Best Musical Nominees
Maybe Happy Ending
Number of Tony Nominations: 10
Other Awards Won: 13 (6 Drama Desk Awards, 4 Outer Critics Circle Awards, 2 Drama League, 1 Theatre World Award)
Other Awards Nominations: 10 (Drama Desk, Outer Critics Circle, Drama League)
Dead Outlaw
Number of Tony Nominations: 7
Other Awards Won: 6 (3 Drama Desk Awards, 3 Outer Critics Circle Awards)
Other Awards Nominations: 22 (Drama Desk, Drama League, Outer Critics Circle)
Buena Vista Social Club
Number of Tony Nominations: 10*
Other Awards Won: 6 (2 Lucille Lortels, 2 Chita Rivera Awards, 1 Outer Critics Circle, 1 Drama Desk Award)
Other Awards Nominations: 15 (Drama League, Lucille Lortel, Outer Critics Circle, Chita Rivera Awards)
* Buena Vista Social Club has also received a special Tony Award, honoring the musicians who make up the band, bringing its Tony recognitions up to 11.
Operation Mincemeat: A New Musical
Number of Tony Nominations: 4
Other Awards Won: 5 (2 Oliviers, 1 Outer Critics Circle Award, 1 Drama Desk Award, 1 Theatre World Award)
Other Awards Nominations: 14 (Oliviers, Drama Desk, Drama League, Outer Critics Circle)
Death Becomes Her
Number of Tony Nominations: 10
Other Awards Won: 1 (Drama Desk Award)
Other Awards Nominations: 22 (Drama Desk, Drama League, Outer Critics Circle, Chita Rivera Awards)

Best Play Nominees
Purpose
Number of Tony Nominations: 6
Other Awards Won: 7 (3 Jeff Awards, 2 Drama Desk, 1 Theatre World Award, 1 2025 Pulitzer Prize for Drama)
Other Awards Nominations: 11 (Jeff Awards, Drama League, Outer Critics Circle)
Note: The Pulitzer is not competitive in the traditional sense but is adjudicated by a jury panel.
Oh, Mary!
Number of Tony Nominations: 5
Other Awards Won: 6 (2 Outer Critics Circle Awards, 2 Drama League Awards, 1 Obie Award, 1 Drama Desk Sam Norkin Award)
Other Awards Nominations: 4 (Drama Desk, Drama League, Outer Critics Circle, 2025 Pulitzer Prize for Drama Finalist)
Note: Cole Escola鈥檚 Sam Norkin Award is non-competitive, and The Pulitzer is not competitive in the traditional sense but is adjudicated by a jury panel.
John Proctor is the Villain
Number of Tony Nominations: 7
Other Awards Won: 4 (2 Drama Desk, 2 Outer Critics)
Other Awards Nominations: 4 (Drama League, Drama Desk)
English
Number of Tony Nominations: 5
Other Awards Won: 4 (2 Obies, 1 Theatre World, 1 2023 Pulitzer Prize for Drama)
Other Awards Nominations: 4 (Drama League)
Note: The Pulitzer is not competitive in the traditional sense but is adjudicated by a jury panel.
The Hills of California
Number of Tony Nominations: 7
Other Awards Won: 2 (Drama Desk, Outer Critics Circle)
Other Awards Nominations: 6 (Oliviers, Drama Desk, Outer Critics Circle)

Best Revival of a Play Nominees
Eureka Day
Number of Tony Nominations: 2
Other Awards Won: 2 (Drama Desk, Drama League)
Other Awards Nominations: 2 (Drama League)
Yellow Face
Number of Tony Nominations: 3
Other Awards Won: 1* (1 Outer Critics Circle)
Other Awards Nominations: 3 (Drama Desk, Drama League, Outer Critics Circle)
*Note Yellow Face was a 2008 Pulitzer Prize finalist for drama, which isn't counted here since it was for a previous production, but it is important to note. The Pulitzer is not competitive in the traditional sense but is adjudicated by a jury panel.
Romeo + Juliet
Number of Tony Nominations: 1
Other Awards Won: 1 (Theatre World)
Other Awards Nominations: 5 (Drama Desk, Drama League, Outer Critics Circle)
Thornton Wilder鈥檚 Our Town
Number of Tony Nominations: 1
Other Awards Won: 1 (Drama Desk)
Other Awards Nominations: 1 (Drama League)

Best Revival of a Musical Nominees
Sunset Blvd.
Number of Tony Nominations: 7
Other Awards Won: 12 (7 Oliviers, 2 Drama League, 1 Drama Desk, 2 Theatre World)
Other Awards Nominations: 16 (Oliviers, Drama Desk, Drama League, Outer Critics Circle)
Gypsy
Number of Tony Nominations: 5
Other Awards Won: 3 (2 Drama Desk Awards, 1 Chita Rivera Award)
Other Awards Nominations: 11 (Drama Desk, Drama League, Outer Critics Circle)
Pirates! The Penzance Musical
Number of Tony Nominations: 1
Other Awards Won: 2 (2 Drama Desk Awards)
Other Awards Nominations: 10 (Drama Desk, Drama League, Outer Critics Circle, Chita Rivera Awards)
Floyd Collins
Number of Tony Nominations: 6
Other Awards Won: 0
Other Awards Nominations: 17 (Drama Desk, Drama League, Outer Critics Circle)
Pre-order the official 2025 Tony Awards 半岛体育 at . See the full list of nominees here.
Winners will be named at The 78th Annual Tony Awards, set to broadcast live from Radio City Music Hall June 8, beginning at 8 PM ET on CBS and streaming on Paramount+ in the U.S. Wicked film star and Tony winner Cynthia Erivo will host the evening. A pre-show Act One concert, to be hosted by Ren茅e Elise Goldsberry and 2025 Tony nominee Darren Criss, will stream on PlutoTV beginning at 6:40 PM ET.
The Tony Awards are produced in collaboration with Tony Award Productions, a joint venture of the American Theatre Wing and The Broadway League, and White Cherry Entertainment. Ricky Kirshner and Glenn Weiss are executive producers and showrunners for White Cherry Entertainment. Weiss will serve as director.
The American Theatre Wing鈥檚 Tony Awards are presented by The Broadway League and the American Theatre Wing. At the Broadway League, Kristin Caskey is chair, and Jason Laks is president. At the American Theatre Wing, Emilio Sosa is chair, and Heather Hitchens is president and CEO.
Visit 半岛体育.com/Tonys.